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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cay520 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (64–56, n=120) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $307 | $3.3M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #657 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #148 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 66% (285 of 431 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 62% (177 of 284 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 58 at avg 62¢, ROI +47% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 100% of 9) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 55% (won 94% of 32) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 94% of 16) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
89 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cay520 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $10K | — | Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $15K | — | Yes $111 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $977 | — | No $9.0K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Arthur Fils $5.4K | — | Tomas Machac $2.3K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4.1K | — | Over $3.1K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.9K | — | No $13 |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.4K | — | Yes $3.0K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | — | Olympiakós SFP $3 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.8K | — | Over $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $869 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $182 |
| Como 1907 leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.2K | — | No $734 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.8K | — | Under $29 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $1.8K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $362 | — | Under $1.2K |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.4K | — | Under $6 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $245 | — | Over $990 |
| Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $4 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | — | Over $268 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | — | No $677 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $26 | — | Over $685 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $220 | — | Hawks $426 |
| PSV leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $554 | — | Yes $88 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $273 |
| Will Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $155 | — | Yes $322 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $351 | — | Yes $106 |
| Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $315 | — | No $25 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $103 | — | Under $169 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | — | Anna Siskova $216 | — | Marie Weckerle $43 |
| Will Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $204 | — | Yes $29 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Over $86 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $81 | — | No $103 |
| Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $140 | — | No $27 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Hawks $31 | — | Wizards $89 |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $87 | — | Under $2 |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $25 | — | Under $2 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $23 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $87K | — | Yes $29K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $101K | — | No $4.4K |