Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cay520Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (64–56, n=120)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)65% (885–467, n=1352)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$290$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #638PM monthly #22PM monthly #21PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (153 of 214 open)82% (28 of 34 open)53% (16 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +47 pts n=21, ROI +48%
  • Esports +24 pts n=36, ROI +22%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won95% of 58 at avg 62¢, ROI +47%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 100% of 9)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢55% (won 94% of 32)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 94% of 16)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketcay520Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $940—Over $2.9K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Oksana Selekhmeteva $62—Polina Kudermetova $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39K—Under $45
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.3K—No $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115—No $3.3K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $115
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $44—No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $100—Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379—No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
—Benjamin Pietri $95—Benjamin Pietri $377
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Frances Tiafoe
—Quentin Halys $70—Quentin Halys $305
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Jeremy Gschwendtner $97—Jeremy Gschwendtner $204
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117—Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Thomas Faurel
—Loann Massard $11—Loann Massard $119