No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #585 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #585
Record (90 d)
56/59 · 95%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Specialties
58 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 62¢- NBA
+47 pts
side won 100% of 21 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +48%
- Esports
+24 pts
side won 92% of 36 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +22%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 100% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 55%(won 94% of 32)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 94% of 16)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.