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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (345–290, n=635)59% (40–28, n=68)
Consensus PnL—$403K$532K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #105PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (81 of 155 open)55% (11 of 20 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $7.7KBulls $340K
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $488Thunder $279K
Hawks vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $285Bulls $233K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K
Cavaliers vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Cavaliers $3Heat $41K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $8Grizzlies $41K
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Cavaliers $615Heat $21K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $9.3KThunder $7.8K
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.3KWarriors $2.3K
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $60KGrizzlies $201K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
—Team Falcons $978Team Falcons $114K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $326Gen.G $43K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.4KGrizzlies $1.1K