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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788nigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (12–11, n=23)54% (345–290, n=635)59% (40–28, n=68)
Consensus PnL—$567K$403K$532K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #37PM monthly #105PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position55% (64 of 117 open)50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788nigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Clippers $488Thunder $271K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $8.9KThunder $8.3K
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $8.3KWarriors $2.8K
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
——Team Falcons $978Team Falcons $136K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $326Gen.G $43K