Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpprimmwaierma
Record (consensus markets)52% (6565–6142, n=12707)50% (1127–1147, n=2274)70% (95–40, n=135)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$3.6M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #51PM monthly #845
Sides with the consensus69% (181 of 261 open)72% (13 of 18 open)13% (2 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)14% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 421)8% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 508)12% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)66% (won 95% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmwaierma
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $1.9K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.5K—Yes $10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K—Yes $10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $10
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $679—Yes $9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $351—Yes $10
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $310—Yes $9
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $243—Yes $10
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $168—Yes $10
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $213—Yes $9