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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmwaierma
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)70% (95–40, n=135)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$3.6M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #846
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)71% (219 of 308 open)75% (3 of 4 open)13% (2 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)14% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 421)8% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 508)12% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)66% (won 95% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmwaierma
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.6K—Yes $10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $1.8K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.3K—Yes $10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0K—Yes $10
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $9
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $10
Will Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $10
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $679—Yes $9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $328—Yes $10
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $246—Yes $9
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $168—Yes $10
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $213—Yes $9