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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpprimmwaierma
Record (consensus markets)58% (4537–3326, n=7863)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)71% (94–39, n=133)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.6M$3.6M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #53PM monthly #850
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)75% (238 of 317 open)100% (1 of 1 open)27% (4 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)14% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)8% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)12% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)66% (won 95% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpprimmwaierma
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $238——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $494——
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $368—Yes $10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $351—Yes $10
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $243—Yes $10
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $171—Yes $10
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $57—Yes $10
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12KOver $1.2K——
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $8.6K——
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.0KOver $114——
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $194——Yes $9