Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpnigiri99PuckaBegemotarobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)71% (2092–854, n=2946)55% (392–321, n=713)77% (10–3, n=13)60% (48–32, n=80)
Consensus PnL$387K$426K$25K$500K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #104PM monthly #836PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus51% (144 of 280 open)43% (29 of 67 open)no open consensus position40% (4 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
not computed yet
  • NBA +46 pts n=40, ROI +43%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%—100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 37% of 79)—4% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 59% of 138)—34% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 72% of 243)—44% (won 100% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)19% (won 98% of 107)—18% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpnigiri99PuckaBegemotarobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $67Team Falcons $609—Team Falcons $164K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1K—Gen.G $95K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.0KYes $346——
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.6KYes $1.3K——
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $916Yes $374——
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $438Over $11——
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $103Under $74——
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $243—Gen.G $44K
Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.5KYes $98——
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6Georgia State $520——
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $399Heat $47——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $3——
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8Yes $3——