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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1SingW
Record (consensus markets)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)63% (993–576, n=1569)48% (14234–15729, n=29963)72% (1088–418, n=1506)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$4.8M$14.8M-$80K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #97PM monthly #30 + pinnedwas PM monthly #882
Sides with the consensus75% (114 of 152 open)69% (52 of 75 open)48% (12 of 25 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=1219, ROI +16%
  • NBA +19 pts n=99, ROI +5%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 1330 at avg 41¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)25% (won 42% of 338)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)37% (won 84% of 489)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)35% (won 88% of 470)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)2% (won 91% of 33)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1SingW
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $269—Ipek Oz $659—
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $9—Marcel Zielinski $201—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
Martha MATOULA $934—Martha MATOULA $1.8K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
Nuria Brancaccio $38—Nuria Brancaccio $1.3K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42—