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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000
Record (consensus markets)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)48% (617–662, n=1279)no settled market
Consensus PnL$502K$549K—
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #18was PM monthly #568
Sides with the consensus53% (66 of 125 open)48% (25 of 52 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $126—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
Nevada Wolf Pack $5Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
New Mexico Lobos $24Santa Clara Broncos $3.0K—
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
opposite sides · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack $1.1KUtah Valley Wolverines $226—
Sydney: Tai Leonard Sach vs Derek Pham
opposite sides · consensus Derek Pham
Derek Pham $696Tai Leonard Sach $193—
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
Montana Grizzlies $20North Dakota Fighting Hawks $10—
UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Caio Borralho
Caio Borralho $523Caio Borralho $22K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $3.3K—
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $45Over $741—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
Melbourne Renegades $261Melbourne Renegades $43—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
Kings $44Kings $55—