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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)71% (2750–1138, n=3888)48% (641–685, n=1326)100% (1–0, n=1)55% (12–10, n=22)
Consensus PnL$518K$564K$18K$91K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #18was PM monthly #568was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus50% (60 of 119 open)54% (22 of 41 open)0% (0 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564———
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%—92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)—8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)—58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)—33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $157——
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
Nevada Wolf Pack $12Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K——
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
New Mexico Lobos $201Santa Clara Broncos $3.1K——
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
opposite sides · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $1.7K——
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Flames $225Kings $7——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $779Texas Tech $3.3K——
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
same side · consensus Sydney Kings
Sydney Kings $818Sydney Kings $396——
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $42Over $705——
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
Melbourne Renegades $336Melbourne Renegades $42——
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
Kings $37Kings $50——