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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677nehaipRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)53% (10–9, n=19)70% (14–6, n=20)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$14K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #578PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (226 of 324 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)59% (149 of 254 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%88% of 17 at avg 67¢, ROI +25%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)29% (won 80% of 5)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 10)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677nehaipRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $60——Central Michigan $12K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K——Over $247
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $4.1K——Celtics $485
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt
Hiroki Sakagawa $1.2K——Max Wiskandt $1.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301——No $2.4K
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.3K——No $343
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $2.2K——Celtics $3
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3K——Bucks $765
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274——Under $1.7K
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
Maxwell McKennon $849——Mauricio Echazu $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.6K——Bucks $57
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.5K——Knicks $158
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Over $23
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——No $4
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Over $23
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $138
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
Senators $66——Sabres $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K——Over $12
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $988——Bulls $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $754——Under $8
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $670——Under $87
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $78——Over $535
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $555——Bulls $16
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $330——Over $235
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $506——Over $46
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $303——Pacers $180
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $362——Under $106
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $182——Thunder $270
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $429——Over $6
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $308——Grizzlies $123
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $285——Pelicans $143
Will Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380——Yes $26
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $315——Pistons $49
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $207——Raptors $130
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13——Over $278
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $28——Kings $250
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124——Trail Blazers $99
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $128——Over $85
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $35——Under $169
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $100——Over $2
Spread: Pistons (-21.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $32——Pistons $63
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $32——Under $14
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $215——Sacramento State $8.3K
Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Grabher $5.2K——Julia Grabher $2.0K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $5.4K——76ers $370