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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677MTDRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)45% (10–12, n=22)71% (249–101, n=350)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.3M$71K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #2PM monthly #705PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (262 of 330 open)no open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)65% (106 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—MLB −2 pts, n=56—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%71% of 266 at avg 73¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)14% (won 8% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)8% (won 33% of 21)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)10% (won 48% of 27)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)68% (won 92% of 182)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

88 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677MTDRN1
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $38K——No $4.4K
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $17K——No $14K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10K——Yes $223
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille $9.6K——Bayer 04 Leverkusen $352
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.6K——No $5.0K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.8K——Under $5.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.7K——Over $4
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.4K——Yes $592
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.8K——No $135
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Over $4.5K
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.4K——Yes $6
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.2K——No $2.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.1K——Under $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K——Yes $743
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $491——Over $2.9K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7K——Under $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K——Under $57
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K——Yes $994
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.7K——Yes $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
SC União Torreense $231——Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K
Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 Beşiktaş JK?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K——Yes $464
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $629——Yes $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $63
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K——No $60
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $32
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $803——Under $278
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $835——Over $185
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $588——Over $336
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $600——No $300
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $809——Over $54
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $118——Yes $594
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $677——Over $1
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $440——Warriors $143
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $433——Over $10
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
Juventus FC $49——AZ $89
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47——Yes $27
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $25——Under $3
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2——No $8
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $105K——No $18K
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $58K——Yes $42K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $64K——No $28K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $67K——Yes $21K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $62K——No $20K