Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Under 63%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
$155.95
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 89.8¢ | $1.3K | $1.5K | +$152.49 | 51% 37678-36905 (74583) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 95.8¢ | $579.16 | $436.09 | -$143.07 | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 95.8¢ | $417.72 | $436.09 | +$18.37 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 10.7¢ | $161.44 | — | -$161.44 | |
TO topdogbigboi | Underavg 83.8¢ | $287.24 | $342.7 | +$55.46 | 47% 11740-13459 (25199) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Overavg 15.2¢ | $42.32 | — | -$42.32 | 47% 4064-4618 (8682) |
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 91¢ | $119.6 | $31.58 | -$8.02 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Underavg 86.3¢ | $33.66 | $26.02 | +$4.75 | 54% 9742-8135 (17877) |
DI dips.CTR<$100 | Overavg 14.9¢ | $4.79 | — | -$4.79 | 47% 10635-12160 (22795) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Underavg 91¢ | $5.03 | $5.53 | +$0.5 | 51% 6358-6140 (12498) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 10.7¢ | $2.12 | — | -$2.12 | 53% 61386-53697 (115083) |
Invested
$1,342.51
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$152.49
Record
51%
37678-36905 (74583)
Invested
$579.16
Value
$436.09
PnL
-$143.07
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
Both legs:
Invested
$287.24
Value
$342.7
PnL
+$55.46
Record
47%
11740-13459 (25199)
Invested
$42.32
Value
—
PnL
-$42.32
Record
47%
4064-4618 (8682)
Invested
$119.6
Value
$31.58
PnL
-$8.02
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
Invested
$33.66
Value
$26.02
PnL
+$4.75
Record
54%
9742-8135 (17877)
Invested
$4.79
Value
—
PnL
-$4.79
Record
47%
10635-12160 (22795)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$5.03
Value
$5.53
PnL
+$0.5
Record
51%
6358-6140 (12498)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$2.12
Value
—
PnL
-$2.12
Record
53%
61386-53697 (115083)