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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score

Resolved No. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

No 81%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$6.2K

Combined PnL

$2.2K

Smart Money Signal

No

13 of 16 top traders (81%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No13 traders
Total Value$4.8K
Total Shares4,769
Combined PnL+$2.6K
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares314
Combined PnL-$418.07
No — 81%Yes — 19%
FaroeseNationalist
No

Invested

$799.92

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

50%

546-553 (1099)

FL
FlaznorpARB<$100
Yes

Invested

$3,010.1

Value

$1.4K

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

51%

25776-24479 (50255)

Both legs:

No$820.9659.3¢+$563.84
Yes$2,189.1458.7¢$-2.2K
VeryLucky888
No

Invested

$661.44

Value

$853.11

PnL

+$508.02

Record

58%

46718-33677 (80395)

MA
MadridTime
No

Invested

$229.44

Value

$546.5

PnL

+$317.06

Record

50%

1337-1318 (2655)

LI
Limousin
No

Invested

$138.18

Value

$291.4

PnL

+$153.22

Record

53%

1439-1280 (2719)

VE
Venusian
No

Invested

$117.1

Value

$253.25

PnL

+$136.15

Record

51%

1392-1360 (2752)

SN
SnakeBall
No

Invested

$155.84

Value

$219.28

PnL

+$63.44

Record

51%

37678-36905 (74583)

RN1
No

Invested

$96.7

Value

$163.03

PnL

+$66.33

Record

53%

61386-53697 (115083)

38
38791873984189CTR
Yes

Invested

$739.34

Value

—

PnL

-$371.54

Record

48%

61202-65999 (127201)

CA
Cannae<$100
No

Invested

$29.28

Value

$71.07

PnL

+$41.79

Record

53%

16809-14937 (31746)

LU
LuckyLoo<$100
No

Invested

$21.63

Value

$51.5

PnL

+$3.35

Record

49%

14716-15388 (30104)

SE
sentrio<$100
No

Invested

$19.84

Value

$45.03

PnL

+$25.19

Record

50%

25837-25546 (51383)

0xheavy888<$100
No

Invested

$13.45

Value

$35.4

PnL

+$21.95

Record

56%

7922-6326 (14248)

PA
Pan9XCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$91.65

Value

—

PnL

-$45.51

Record

54%

9742-8135 (17877)

TO
topdogbigboi<$100
No

Invested

$11.96

Value

$13.37

PnL

+$1.41

Record

47%

11740-13459 (25199)

NM
NM-P<$100
No

Invested

$1.44

Value

$4

PnL

+$2.56

Record

64%

9929-5531 (15460)

NO
NordhavenCapCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

57%

2431-1816 (4247)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x445eb8ed...e54c4f
Slug
uel-lev-olm-2026-11-05-btts

Traders in this Market

FaroeseNationalist

No — $2.2K

+$1.2K
FL

Flaznorp

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

$-1.6K

VeryLucky888

No — $853.11

+$508.02
MA

MadridTime

No — $546.5

+$317.06
LI

Limousin

No — $291.4

+$153.22
VE

Venusian

No — $253.25

+$136.15
SN

SnakeBall

No — $219.28

+$63.44

RN1

No — $163.03

+$66.33
38

38791873984189

CTR

Yes — $0

-$371.54
CA

Cannae

No — $71.07

+$41.79
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