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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpjeremyclarRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)44% (50–64, n=114)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21was PM monthly #871PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (124 of 203 open)50% (1 of 2 open)60% (74 of 123 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −2 pts, n=55—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)2% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)69% (won 40% of 72)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)20% (won 43% of 21)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)10% (won 90% of 10)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjeremyclarRN1
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $623Nuggets $1.8KRaptors $130
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.2K—No $191
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301—No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $2.3K—Pelicans $280
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274—Under $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $592—Over $297
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $81—Over $351
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $386—Over $18
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $208—Under $169
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Trail Blazers $205—Suns $6
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $40—Trail Blazers $99
Will Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15—No $6
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $844—Quentin Halys $1.2K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.4K—Spurs $183
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $1.4K—Lakers $3
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $1.1K—Timberwolves $130
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $1.1K—Lakers $17
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $792—Timberwolves $159
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $401—Under $151
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $469—Over $29
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $211—Raptors $275
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $19—Clippers $268
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $70—Suns $160
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $162
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $28