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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjeremyclarRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)43% (53–71, n=124)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M-$8.1K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22was PM monthly #871PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (15 of 28 open)77% (137 of 179 open)100% (2 of 2 open)65% (52 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −2 pts, n=55—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)2% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)69% (won 40% of 72)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)20% (won 43% of 21)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)10% (won 90% of 10)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjeremyclarRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.5K—No $23
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $875—Over $457
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $539—Under $246
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $134—Over $526
Will Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $412—Yes $125
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $338—Over $133
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $424—Over $7
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $226—Mavericks $3
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $59—Trail Blazers $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Will Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13—No $7
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $3.5KSpurs $32K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Lakers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $4.5KLakers $11K—
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.4K—Under $2.6K
Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Under $317
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $811—Quentin Halys $1.2K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.7K—Spurs $265
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $792—Under $398
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $1.1K—Lakers $16
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $999—Under $120
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $616—Over $418
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $342—Under $174
Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $335—Under $27
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249—Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $157—Under $24
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $65—Suns $45