Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpiammillionairekeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)71% (2093–854, n=2947)no settled market48% (503–542, n=1045)84% (21–4, n=25)
Consensus PnL$387K—$528K$297K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #714PM monthly #19PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus52% (165 of 319 open)no open consensus position57% (29 of 51 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%95% of 20 at avg 73¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—6% (won 100% of 19)5% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—36% (won 100% of 120)10% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—50% (won 100% of 166)15% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—7% (won 100% of 24)70% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpiammillionairekeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $3.3K—Norway $15K—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3K—Under $15K—
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Under $7.5K—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.7K—Under $3.9K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.5K—Denmark $4.0K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $477—Kentucky $924—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
Duke $356—Miami (FL) $144—
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus 9INE
WRAITH PCIFIC $7—9INE $147—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Arabian Aces vs Emirates Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Emirates Eagles
Arabian Aces $53—Emirates Eagles $25—
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $6.1K—Nishesh Basavareddy $17K—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
Kansas $3—Kansas $21K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $453—Under $295—
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $123—Lumbini Lions $53—
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
same side · consensus Iberian Soul
FORZE Reload $3—FORZE Reload $18—