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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpfurialetsgoHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)71% (2823–1176, n=3999)100% (1–0, n=1)52% (590–548, n=1138)
Consensus PnL$529K$28K$400K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #929PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensus51% (116 of 226 open)no open consensus position69% (60 of 87 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 531)—2% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 315)—32% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 61% of 150)—60% (won 100% of 189)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 320)—7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpfurialetsgoHomeRunHazard
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $3.3K—Saints $19K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $16—49ers $8.3K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $31—Under $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $75—Mavericks $200
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $620—Seahawks $20K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $303—Vikings $6.7K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Rockets $356—Rockets $2.4K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Mavericks $159—Mavericks $2.4K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $205—Suns $1.9K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $2.0K
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
Creighton Bluejays $51—Creighton Bluejays $300
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $41—Under $270