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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpfurialetsgoHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)55% (58–47, n=105)71% (2823–1176, n=3999)100% (1–0, n=1)52% (590–548, n=1138)
Consensus PnL$381K$529K$28K$400K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #8PM monthly #929PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)52% (119 of 231 open)no open consensus position70% (63 of 90 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 531)—2% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 315)—32% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)11% (won 61% of 150)—60% (won 100% of 189)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 320)—7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpfurialetsgoHomeRunHazard
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Lions $443K——Patriots $5.6K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.3K—Saints $19K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $16—49ers $8.3K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $31—Under $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $75—Mavericks $200
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620—Seahawks $20K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303—Vikings $6.7K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $356—Rockets $2.4K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $159—Mavericks $2.4K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $205—Suns $1.9K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $2.0K
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
—Creighton Bluejays $51—Creighton Bluejays $300
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $41—Under $270