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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | KnightDasCapital | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6403–5995, n=12398) | 50% (5289–5249, n=10538) | 48% (14153–15617, n=29770) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $93K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (208 of 279 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (68 of 116 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=5591 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 52% of 6810 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 17% (won 19% of 1143) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 29% (won 41% of 2005) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 30% (won 59% of 2049) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 24% (won 80% of 1613) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
53 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | KnightDasCapital | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $46 | — | Yes $192 | No $216 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $104 | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $42 | Under $801 |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $10K | — | Over $5 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.7K | — | Under $19 | — |
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.7K | — | No $877 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $757 |
| AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | — | Over $43 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | Over $28 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $529 | — |
| Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $849 | — | Under $1 | — |
| Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $661 | — | Yes $163 | — |
| US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $48 | — | Over $727 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $211 | — | No $436 | — |
| Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $419 | — | No $210 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta | Facundo Acosta $558 | — | Marco Cecchinato $9 | — |
| Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $353 | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $174 |
| Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $56 | — | Over $82 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $133 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $31 | — | No $12 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | No $15 | — |
| Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | Yes $16K | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $494 | — | — | No $15K |
| Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7.0K | — | Over $7.8K | — |
| Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $4.2K | — | No $9.4K | — |
| Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $11K | — | Over $1.8K | — |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC? same side · consensus No | No $9.6K | — | No $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Everton FC | Everton FC $7.2K | — | Everton FC $2.2K | — |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $7.1K | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.5K | — | Under $161 | — |
| Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Coventry City FC | Everton FC $6.9K | — | Everton FC $22 | — |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $6.0K | — | No $617 | — |
| Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $3.4K | — | No $2.0K | — |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | No $2.5K | — |