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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2657–1095, n=3752)48% (617–662, n=1279)
Consensus PnL—$502K$549K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #8PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (66 of 125 open)48% (25 of 52 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564—
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $126
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $5Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—New Mexico Lobos $24Santa Clara Broncos $3.0K
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
opposite sides · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.2KUtah Valley Wolverines $226
Sydney: Tai Leonard Sach vs Derek Pham
opposite sides · consensus Derek Pham
—Derek Pham $696Tai Leonard Sach $193
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $20North Dakota Fighting Hawks $10
UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Caio Borralho
—Caio Borralho $523Caio Borralho $22K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $3.3K
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $45Over $741
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $261Melbourne Renegades $43
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
—Kings $44Kings $55