Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2750–1138, n=3888)48% (641–685, n=1326)84% (26–5, n=31)
Consensus PnL—$518K$564K$341K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #8PM monthly #18PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (60 of 119 open)54% (22 of 41 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=19, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)10% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)21% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)66% (won 95% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $157—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $12Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—New Mexico Lobos $201Santa Clara Broncos $3.1K—
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
opposite sides · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $1.7K—
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Flames $225Kings $7—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $779Texas Tech $3.3K—
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
same side · consensus Sydney Kings
—Sydney Kings $818Sydney Kings $396—
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $42Over $705—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $336Melbourne Renegades $42—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
—Kings $37Kings $50—