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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lucianow34 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 57% (625–479, n=1104) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $16K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #850 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 62% (34 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −4 pts, n=26 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 60% of 1039 at avg 53¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 24% of 55) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 34% (won 44% of 351) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 69% of 508) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 12% (won 86% of 125) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lucianow34 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $1.8K | Bears $21K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | — | Over $19K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $2.4K | Bears $5.4K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $96 | — | Buccaneers $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $24K | Buccaneers $16K |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $9.0K | Buccaneers $9.2K |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $12K | Buccaneers $2.6K |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | Buccaneers $3.1K |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $90 | Buccaneers $4.6K |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $3.5K | Bears $383 |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $421 | Buccaneers $737 |