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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677ojg
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)43% (10–13, n=23)56% (741–582, n=1323)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$3.3M$62K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8was PM monthly #998
Sides with the consensus83% (44 of 53 open)61% (35 of 57 open)no open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677ojg
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $275KTexans $41K—Chargers $538
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $134KPatriots $10K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $92KTexans $44K——
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $104KPatriots $26K——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KCowboys $125——
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $12K——
76ers vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14K——76ers $2.0K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142KBulls $11K——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $121KSeahawks $30K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
—Linda Noskova $64K—Linda Noskova $52
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $17K—Stefan Kozlov $1.7K
Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Nicolas Jarry $5.5K—Nicolas Jarry $100
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.7KChargers $5——