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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677Sausesantana
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)43% (10–13, n=23)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$3.3M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8was PM monthly #830
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)59% (51 of 87 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1 at avg 80¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)100% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677Sausesantana
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $431KTexans $33K——
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190KEagles $59K——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $124KTexans $32K——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KCowboys $196——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KCowboys $21K——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53——
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $13KPatriots $26K——
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $14K——
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11KEagles $195——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $229Patriots $10K——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142KBulls $11K——
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $67KGiants $61——
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——