Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRobbb
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)83% (2411–480, n=2891)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M$95K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #16was PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)53% (17 of 32 open)73% (82 of 112 open)80% (85 of 106 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRobbb
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $23KClippers $753—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Kings $4.5KHeat $2.4K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $463
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $1.0K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $74K——Yes $2.0K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $20KBilibili Gaming $273—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.9KOver $2.7K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96Bears $8.1K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $6.6KKeisuke Saitoh $508—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.3KUnder $1.8K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $173