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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpGetsOnBase
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.2M$3.7M—
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #87PM monthly #10PM monthly #164
Sides with the consensus88% (28 of 32 open)67% (33 of 49 open)76% (225 of 296 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 403)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—15% (won 62% of 214)50% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—40% (won 94% of 553)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpGetsOnBase
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
—Arsenal FC $18KHull City AFC $50K—
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toronto FC
—Philadelphia Union $299Toronto FC $19K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.5KUnder $11K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.2K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $822Under $3.0K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $33KOver $109K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $26KCarlos Alcaraz $23K—
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
—Federico Coria $47KFederico Coria $1.3K—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $22KThiago Seyboth Wild $3.6K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
same side · consensus Adrian Mannarino
—Adrian Mannarino $17KAdrian Mannarino $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Arkansas vs. Auburn
same side · consensus Auburn
—Auburn $5.9KAuburn $33—
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $5.1KUnder $2—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $44Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $246Under $2.0K—
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $542Under $96—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $241Under $214—