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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | twe2nty | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) | 74% (191–68, n=259) | 50% (20849–20545, n=41394) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $14.8M | -$5.1K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #956 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 65% (101 of 156 open) | 74% (26 of 35 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 21% (won 4% of 52) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 5% (won 8% of 13) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 4% (won 60% of 10) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 70% (won 96% of 171) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | twe2nty | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $63K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | — | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | — | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | — | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $218 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $69 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $192 | — | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $61 | — | No $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | — | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $945 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | — | Under $796 |