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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (7053–7168, n=14221)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$5.3M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #803
Sides with the consensus90% (35 of 39 open)70% (115 of 165 open)no open consensus position63% (17 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=551, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 644 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 100% of 102)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 99% of 142)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)53% (won 100% of 339)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677youcanbuythisbot
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $2
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $368
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $38
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $651KNo $45K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $799
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $48
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $43
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $613—Under $38
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $596—No $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $491—Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $475—Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $354—Under $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $2
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $10
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $15
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $93—Yes $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $5
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12—Under $2