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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1pvc975
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)99% (17431–260, n=17691)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M$80K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)71% (173 of 245 open)60% (34 of 57 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Crypto ±0 pts, n=286
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)1% (won 10% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)0% (won 82% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)0% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)99% (won 100% of 10766)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1pvc975
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $837No $474No $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.1KNo $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $34Under $919—
W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova
opposite sides · consensus Valeriya Strakhova
—Anastasia Tikhonova $603Valeriya Strakhova $229—
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens
—Sloane Stephens $395Luciana Perry $319—
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
—Elmer Moeller $387Joao Lucas Da Silva $32—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $60Ivan Gakhov $238—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108Warriors $130—
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
—Anna Siskova $60Isis Louise Van den Broek $88—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $29—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $45KNo $27K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $44KNo $19K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16KSport Lisboa e Benfica $19K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $12K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
—Filip Misolic $3.9KFilip Misolic $8.4K—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.4KUnder $8.8K—
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9KNo $3.4K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.5KUnder $2.4K—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6KNo $3.9K—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $1.1K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KOver $1.9K—
Celtic FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $453No $2.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $589No $109—
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $514GNK Dinamo Zagreb $146—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $168Over $393—
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AZ
—AZ $346AZ $4—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
CA Aldosivi vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $10Over $152—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $103No $11—