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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6563–6075, n=12638) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 73% (191–69, n=260) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #861 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 68% (134 of 196 open) | 54% (49 of 90 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 72% of 257 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 21% (won 4% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 4% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 70% (won 97% of 180) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Warriors $1.7K | Heat $79 | Warriors $520 | — |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $348K | Under $649 | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $7.3K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $1.4K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $72K | — | — | Yes $11K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.3K | Over $2.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | Jaguars $2.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $409 | Canucks $867 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $466 | No $529 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | — | Diletta Cherubini $281 | Ipek Oz $678 | — |
| Ducks vs. Oilers opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | Ducks $153 | Oilers $638 | — |
| Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $25 | Under $645 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Heat $428 | Warriors $110 | — |
| Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $81 | Over $120 | — |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $131 | Yes $33 | — |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $114 | Yes $40 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Suns $1 | Magic $43 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | Ravens $1.9K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $9.6K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.3K | Over $2.4K | — |
| Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.7K | No $1.7K | — |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.7K | No $222 | — |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $246 | No $2.2K | — |
| Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | Under $643 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | No $161 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $1.2K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: Bruins (-3.5) same side · consensus Bruins | — | Penguins $410 | Penguins $52 | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $8 | Under $326 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | Yes $192 | — |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia? same side · consensus No | — | No $219 | No $92 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $174 | Warriors $97 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | Under $42 | — |
| Flyers vs. Rangers same side · consensus Rangers | — | Flyers $86 | Flyers $112 | — |
| Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $158 | Under $15 | — |
| Canucks vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | — | Canucks $18 | Canucks $95 | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-2.5) same side · consensus Ducks | — | Oilers $72 | Oilers $10 | — |
| Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $28 | Over $4 | — |
| Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) same side · consensus EC Bahia | — | Cruzeiro EC $2 | Cruzeiro EC $26 | — |