Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
Resolved No. 39% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
No 45%
$18.2K
-$739.59
Smart Money Signal
11 of 28 top traders (39%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KY Kyn008 | Noavg 78¢ | $6.7K | $8.6K | -$25.95 | 49% 291-304 (595) |
 ZaiZoiBele | Noavg 69¢ | $3.5K | $5.0K | +$1.6K | 80% 5324-1366 (6690) |
 oieshfn345 | Noavg 79.8¢ | $2.2K | $1.8K | -$418.69 | 57% 2060-1527 (3587) |
 RN1 | Noavg 75.8¢ | $2.2K | $1.8K | -$406.03 | 53% 61623-53954 (115577) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Noavg 78.3¢ | $470.62 | $601.11 | +$111.45 | 51% 1949-1885 (3834) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Noavg 75.8¢ | $367.46 | $372.56 | +$5.1 | 52% 14564-13259 (27823) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 93.5¢ | $34.87 | $32.38 | -$2.48 | 46% 11943-13783 (25726) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Noavg 79.8¢ | $9.35 | $6.3 | -$3.05 | 66% 24333-12416 (36749) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.9¢ | $10.87 | — | -$10.87 | 50% 21308-21583 (42891) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Noavg 55¢ | $2.75 | $5 | +$2.25 | 47% 9391-10519 (19910) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Noavg 78.9¢ | $3.94 | $5 | -$0.17 | 52% 8805-8014 (16819) |
AR ARocky33CTR | Yesavg 32.1¢ | $969.64 | — | -$969.64 | 76% 4526-1406 (5932) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Yesavg 21¢ | $220.92 | — | -$220.92 | 51% 37914-37162 (75076) |
CA CannaeCTR | Yesavg 21¢ | $104.97 | — | -$105.22 | 53% 16906-15021 (31927) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.4¢ | $94.3 | — | -$94.3 | 64% 10038-5607 (15645) |
GC GC-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.4¢ | $80.23 | — | -$80.23 | 64% 10074-5680 (15754) |
GA GaditimaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 37¢ | $37 | — | -$37 | 48% 7416-8118 (15534) |
HI hi774cCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $16.4 | — | -$16.4 | 46% 5232-6081 (11313) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20.8¢ | $16.09 | — | -$16.09 | 50% 26022-25705 (51727) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.4¢ | $6.89 | — | -$6.89 | 51% 6415-6193 (12608) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.7¢ | $6.29 | — | -$6.29 | 50% 28591-28432 (57023) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 60% 2814-1914 (4728) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 26251-24882 (51133) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 25% 472-1449 (1921) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 5951-10676 (16627) |
Invested
$6,746.17
Value
$8.6K
PnL
-$25.95
Record
49%
291-304 (595)
ZaiZoiBeleInvested
$3,479.67
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$1.6K
Record
80%
5324-1366 (6690)
oieshfn345Invested
$2,189.21
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$418.69
Record
57%
2060-1527 (3587)
RN1Invested
$2,169.83
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$406.03
Record
53%
61623-53954 (115577)
Invested
$470.62
Value
$601.11
PnL
+$111.45
Record
51%
1949-1885 (3834)
Invested
$367.46
Value
$372.56
PnL
+$5.1
Record
52%
14564-13259 (27823)
Invested
$34.87
Value
$32.38
PnL
-$2.48
Record
46%
11943-13783 (25726)
Invested
$9.35
Value
$6.3
PnL
-$3.05
Record
66%
24333-12416 (36749)
Invested
$10.87
Value
—
PnL
-$10.87
Record
50%
21308-21583 (42891)
Invested
$2.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.25
Record
47%
9391-10519 (19910)
Invested
$3.94
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.17
Record
52%
8805-8014 (16819)
Invested
$969.64
Value
—
PnL
-$969.64
Record
76%
4526-1406 (5932)
Invested
$220.92
Value
—
PnL
-$220.92
Record
51%
37914-37162 (75076)
Invested
$104.97
Value
—
PnL
-$105.22
Record
53%
16906-15021 (31927)
Invested
$94.3
Value
—
PnL
-$94.3
Record
64%
10038-5607 (15645)
Invested
$80.23
Value
—
PnL
-$80.23
Record
64%
10074-5680 (15754)
Invested
$37
Value
—
PnL
-$37
Record
48%
7416-8118 (15534)
Invested
$16.4
Value
—
PnL
-$16.4
Record
46%
5232-6081 (11313)
Invested
$16.09
Value
—
PnL
-$16.09
Record
50%
26022-25705 (51727)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$6.89
Value
—
PnL
-$6.89
Record
51%
6415-6193 (12608)
Invested
$6.29
Value
—
PnL
-$6.29
Record
50%
28591-28432 (57023)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
60%
2814-1914 (4728)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
26251-24882 (51133)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
472-1449 (1921)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
5951-10676 (16627)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Kyn008
No — $8.6K
ZaiZoiBele
No — $5.0K
oieshfn345
No — $1.8K
RN1
No — $1.8K
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
No — $601.11
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
No — $372.56
topdogbigboi
No — $32.38
pauleta23
No — $6.3
omnibus-076daa
CTRYes — $0
lryyy
No — $5