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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimendb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)49% (855–893, n=1748)65% (892–472, n=1364)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$10K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #21PM monthly #609PM monthly #99
Sides with the consensus47% (9 of 19 open)67% (131 of 196 open)59% (13 of 22 open)78% (39 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimendb1
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.1KNo $45—
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
opposite sides · consensus Charles Broom
—Alexandre Muller $189Charles Broom $1.4K—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14No $7—
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6KNo $24—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $80No $810—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $446No $78—
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $85No $348—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $262Over $18—
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $247Yes $4—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $183No $65—
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $162No $28—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $166Over $7—
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $122Yes $21—
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $30No $58—
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $48Over $9—
Will North East United FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $17No $5—