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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BoomLaLaBreakTheBankHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)70% (37–16, n=53)58% (22–16, n=38)55% (216–179, n=395)
Consensus PnL$975$837K$290K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #1PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus32% (9 of 28 open)47% (7 of 15 open)64% (91 of 143 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=14, ROI +49%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 21 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 1)0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 12)57% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 4)39% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 4)4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBoomLaLaBreakTheBankHomeRunHazard
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $164Grizzlies $126KNuggets $5.0K
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $16KNuggets $19K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $24KThunder $4.6K
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Packers $103—Vikings $5.6K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Trail Blazers $676Thunder $4.3K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $133Thunder $3.7K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Raiders $68—Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $115—Over $1.3K
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
opposite sides · consensus Abilene Christian Wildcats
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks $11—Abilene Christian Wildcats $43
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Grizzlies $2Nuggets $49
Jackson State Tigers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Jackson State Tigers
Southern Miss Golden Eagles $7—Jackson State Tigers $7
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Lakers $3.3KLakers $20K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $3—Vikings $6.3K
USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears
same side · consensus USC Trojans
USC Trojans $21—USC Trojans $5.1K
Flyers vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
Flyers $18—Flyers $4.4K
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $468Grizzlies $1.3K
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
Kraken $75—Kraken $862
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12—Over $884
Chicago State Cougars vs. California Baptist Lancers
same side · consensus California Baptist Lancers
Chicago State Cougars $5—Chicago State Cougars $58