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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BoomLaLaBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardrobustmst
Record (consensus markets)70% (37–16, n=53)58% (22–16, n=38)55% (216–179, n=395)42% (13–18, n=31)
Consensus PnL$975$837K$290K$208K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #28
Sides with the consensus35% (9 of 26 open)54% (7 of 13 open)61% (81 of 133 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=14, ROI +49%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 21 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 1)0%1% (won 100% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 12)57% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 31)85% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 4)39% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 55)15% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 4)4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBoomLaLaBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardrobustmst
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $285Nuggets $26K—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $22KThunder $4.6K—
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Packers $103—Vikings $5.6K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Trail Blazers $676Thunder $4.3K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $133Thunder $3.7K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Raiders $68—Seahawks $1.5K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $115—Over $1.3K—
Jackson State Tigers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Southern Miss Golden Eagles $7—Jackson State Tigers $7—
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Lakers $3.3KLakers $20K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $3—Vikings $6.3K—
USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears
same side · consensus USC Trojans
USC Trojans $21—USC Trojans $5.1K—
Flyers vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
Flyers $18—Flyers $4.4K—
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $468Grizzlies $1.3K—
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
Kraken $75—Kraken $862—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12—Over $884—
Chicago State Cougars vs. California Baptist Lancers
same side · consensus California Baptist Lancers
Chicago State Cougars $5—Chicago State Cougars $58—