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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 71% (2825–1180, n=4005) | 53% (529–468, n=997) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $529K | $639K | $475K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #57 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (153 of 266 open) | 59% (26 of 44 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=204 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 40% (won 6% of 531) | 12% (won 44% of 90) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 24% (won 38% of 315) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 11% (won 61% of 150) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 94% of 320) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $6.9K | Lions $34K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $2.4K | Vikings $8.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K | Titans $8.2K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $165 | — | Chiefs $6.3K |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | — | — | Patriots $194 | Lions $4.0K |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $1.6K | Oklahoma $494 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $303 | — | Vikings $6.5K |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $3.3K | Panthers $238 | — |
| Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | Otto Virtanen $392 | Otto Virtanen $1 | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys same side · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | — | Cowboys $275 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — |