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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AML | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4–3, n=7) | 52% (583–536, n=1119) | 84% (26–5, n=31) | 53% (513–456, n=969) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $404K | $341K | $592K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #126 | PM monthly #55 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (34 of 50 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 51% (20 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 3% (won 0% of 1) | 12% (won 40% of 83) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 10% (won 100% of 3) | 23% (won 65% of 158) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 21% (won 83% of 6) | 44% (won 77% of 300) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 66% (won 95% of 19) | 20% (won 99% of 135) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AML | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $8.2K | — | Pepperdine Waves $146K |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $7.9K | — | Packers $2.4K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $5.9K | — | Packers $6 |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Rams $5.4K | — | Cardinals $210 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.3K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $32 | — | Patriots $172 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Chiefs $2.5K | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Patriots $6.1K | — | Patriots $6.0K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.4K | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $2.0K | — | Colts $3 |
| Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Under $495 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $325 | — | Rockets $74 |