← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AML | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4–3, n=7) | 71% (2770–1157, n=3927) | 52% (583–536, n=1119) | 48% (665–719, n=1384) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $526K | $404K | $856K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 43% (51 of 118 open) | 68% (34 of 50 open) | 35% (6 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=564 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 42% (won 5% of 495) | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 39% of 266) | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 34% (won 100% of 145) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 134) | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 52% (won 100% of 219) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 25% (won 94% of 296) | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 8% (won 100% of 35) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AML | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $174 | Chiefs $8.7K | — |
| Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers opposite sides · consensus Sydney Kings | — | New Zealand Breakers $2 | — | Sydney Kings $6.9K |
| Kobe: Maximus Jones vs Yuki Mochizuki opposite sides · consensus Maximus Jones | — | Maximus Jones $2.0K | — | Yuki Mochizuki $286 |
| KCC Egis vs. Daegu Pegasus opposite sides · consensus KCC Egis | — | KCC Egis $319 | — | Daegu Pegasus $974 |
| LG Sakers vs. Sonic Boom opposite sides · consensus Sonic Boom | — | LG Sakers $336 | — | Sonic Boom $8 |
| India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India opposite sides · consensus New Zealand | — | India $55 | — | New Zealand $21 |
| WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang | — | Mertens/Zhang $1.2K | — | Mertens/Zhang $9.3K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $303 | Vikings $6.7K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $629 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $2.0K | — |
| Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades same side · consensus Sydney Sixers | — | Melbourne Renegades $327 | — | Melbourne Renegades $42 |
| ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy T20s: Thailand Women vs Zimbabwe Women same side · consensus Zimbabwe Women | — | Thailand Women $11 | — | Thailand Women $11 |
| Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Karnali Yaks same side · consensus Chitwan Rhinos | — | Karnali Yaks $9 | — | Karnali Yaks $3 |