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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 121212121212121212121212 | e46m3 | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 82% (9–2, n=11) | 75% (752–252, n=1004) | 45% (202–249, n=451) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.0K | $93 | $77K | $34K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #511 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #45 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 79% (11 of 14 open) | 74% (121 of 163 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Tech −2 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% | 93% of 163 at avg 89¢, ROI −9% | 52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 31% of 16) | 31% (won 9% of 66) | 6% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 27% (won 45% of 56) | 38% (won 100% of 51) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 68% of 28) | 50% (won 100% of 68) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 89% (won 100% of 145) | 29% (won 97% of 61) | 7% (won 100% of 9) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 121212121212121212121212 | e46m3 | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston | — | — | Hugo Gaston $7.8K | Matteo Martineau $24K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | — | — | Alexander Shevchenko $988 | Casper Ruud $11K |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | — | Bucks $608 | Lakers $9.8K |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | — | Lakers $183 | Bucks $6.4K |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | — | Bucks $353 | Lakers $3.4K |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova opposite sides · consensus Karolina Muchova | — | — | Karolina Muchova $2.3K | Elina Svitolina $447 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 137.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $54 | Over $716 |
| W35 Weston, FL: Sofia Rocchetti vs Anita Sahdiieva opposite sides · consensus Anita Sahdiieva | — | — | Anita Sahdiieva $116 | Sofia Rocchetti $1 |
| W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki opposite sides · consensus Sachia Vickery | — | — | Michaela Laki $87 | Sachia Vickery $2 |
| Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs underw0rld (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage opposite sides · consensus QUINTESSÊNCIA | — | — | QUINTESSÊNCIA $8 | underw0rld $3 |
| Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Clement Chidekh same side · consensus Clement Chidekh | — | — | Clement Chidekh $1.3K | Clement Chidekh $17K |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka | — | — | Aryna Sabalenka $984 | Aryna Sabalenka $5.3K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | No $2.8K | — |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Sofia Costoulas same side · consensus Laura Samson | — | — | Laura Samson $1.9K | Laura Samson $3.6K |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | — | Rockets $3 | Rockets $3.7K |
| Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Jonas Forejtek same side · consensus Jonas Forejtek | — | — | Jonas Forejtek $626 | Jonas Forejtek $1.6K |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $213 | Trail Blazers $1.5K |
| Sopo: Lucia Bronzetti vs Elizabeth Mandlik same side · consensus Lucia Bronzetti | — | — | Lucia Bronzetti $25 | Lucia Bronzetti $8 |