Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (632–607, n=1239)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL-$358K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #477PM monthly #10PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (136 of 197 open)54% (53 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=156Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won52% of 1111 at avg 51¢, ROI −3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 19% of 31)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 47% of 491)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 55% of 511)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 74% of 78)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789FlaznorpRN1
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $348KUnder $649
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $21KNo $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.2KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3KOver $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $409Canucks $867
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281Ipek Oz $678
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25Under $621
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $79Warriors $520
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428Warriors $110
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $111Over $83
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $131Yes $33
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $114Yes $40
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $1Magic $43
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $78Florida Atlantic $14K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $9.6KOver $1.2K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.6KUnder $1.1K
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $266Jaguars $7.6K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KOver $2.4K
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6KNo $1.8K
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7KNo $222
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $246No $2.2K
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $657
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
—Penguins $354Penguins $52
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $23Yuta Shimizu $341
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $326
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—No $219No $92
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $14Southern Miss $204
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
same side · consensus EC Bahia
—Cruzeiro EC $44Cruzeiro EC $153
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $158Under $15
Flyers vs. Rangers
same side · consensus Rangers
—Flyers $86Flyers $68
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $18Canucks $95
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
—Oilers $50Oilers $10
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $28Over $6
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 3 - 2 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4Yes $9