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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (632–607, n=1239) | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | -$358K | $3.5M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #477 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 79% (213 of 270 open) | 72% (68 of 95 open) | 65% (97 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=156 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 1111 at avg 51¢, ROI −3% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 19% of 31) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 44% (won 47% of 491) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 55% of 511) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 74% of 78) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
61 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $26K | — | Yes $13K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.7K | — | Over $4 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $8.2K | — | Yes $5 |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | — | Olympique de Marseille $7.9K | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $4.5K |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | — | Yes $69 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $2.3K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.1K | — | Under $81 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | — | Yes $6 |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $614 | — | Over $2.9K |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | — | Under $414 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | — | Under $57 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | — | SC União Torreense $231 | — | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | — | Yes $432 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | Yes $63 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $32 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $833 | — | Over $185 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $600 | — | No $300 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $90 | — | Yes $594 |
| Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 - 1 Olympique de Marseille? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $257 | — | No $374 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $440 | — | Warriors $143 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $432 | — | Over $12 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $396 | — | Over $10 |
| Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus AZ | — | Juventus FC $49 | — | AZ $89 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $47 | — | Yes $27 |
| Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $19 | — | No $46 |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $26 | — | Over $33 |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $25 | — | Under $3 |
| Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $8 |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $56K | — | Yes $41K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $56K | — | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $51K | — | No $20K |
| Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $35K | — | Yes $28K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $36K | — | No $19K |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $26K | — | No $4.5K |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | — | Under $17K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | — | Under $11K |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9.7K | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.3K | — | Under $6.9K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.3K | — | Under $8.6K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.2K | — | Under $3.1K |
| Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $3.4K | — | Bianca Andreescu $5.8K |