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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (632–607, n=1239)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14234–15729, n=29963)
Consensus PnL-$358K$3.6M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #477PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (109 of 144 open)no open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=156Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won52% of 1111 at avg 51¢, ROI −3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 19% of 31)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 47% of 491)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 55% of 511)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 74% of 78)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $269—Ipek Oz $659
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $1.3K—Matteo Martineau $4.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
—Nuria Brancaccio $38—Nuria Brancaccio $1.3K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42