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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (632–607, n=1239) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6563–6075, n=12638) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | -$358K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #477 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 79% (26 of 33 open) | 68% (129 of 190 open) | 54% (44 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=156 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 1111 at avg 51¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 19% of 31) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 44% (won 47% of 491) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 55% of 511) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 74% of 78) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $1.7K | Heat $79 | Warriors $520 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $5.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $837 | — | Jaguars $2.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.2K | No $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $409 | Canucks $867 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | — | — | Diletta Cherubini $281 | Ipek Oz $678 |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 3 - 1 EC Bahia? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $517 | No $343 |
| Ducks vs. Oilers opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | — | Ducks $153 | Oilers $675 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Heat $428 | Warriors $110 |
| Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $26 | Under $353 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $212 | Over $71 |
| Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $78 | Over $128 |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $131 | Yes $33 |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $114 | Yes $40 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $92K | — | Ravens $1.9K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $9.6K | Over $1.2K |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.3K | Over $2.4K |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $226 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $246 | No $2.2K |
| Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $630 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $1.2K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $8 | Under $326 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $139 | Yes $192 |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $219 | No $92 |
| Golden Knights vs. Red Wings same side · consensus Red Wings | — | — | Red Wings $19 | Red Wings $253 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Warriors $174 | Warriors $97 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |
| Flyers vs. Rangers same side · consensus Rangers | — | — | Flyers $85 | Flyers $98 |
| Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $158 | Under $13 |
| Canucks vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | — | — | Canucks $18 | Canucks $95 |
| Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) same side · consensus EC Bahia | — | — | Cruzeiro EC $4 | Cruzeiro EC $34 |
| Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $28 | Over $9 |