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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlphaBetaGamma2357FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (409–359, n=768)53% (5701–5137, n=10838)47% (12984–14433, n=27417)
Consensus PnL—$73K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #606PM monthly #22PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (16 of 27 open)71% (116 of 163 open)43% (13 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—MLB −18 pts, n=23Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—52% of 765 at avg 50¢, ROI +5%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—15% (won 20% of 113)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 40% of 308)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 60% of 192)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 86% of 152)38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlphaBetaGamma2357FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $927Over $2.9K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.6KNo $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.0KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $301No $702
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $38KUnder $46
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $12KNo $2.2K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.6KNo $1.4K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $115No $3.3K
W100 Incheon: Rina Saigo vs Miho Kuramochi
same side · consensus Rina Saigo
——Rina Saigo $356Rina Saigo $1.6K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $43No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $97Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
——No $379No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $729Boluspor $43
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $117Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
——Yuzuha Negishi $67Yuzuha Negishi $50
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
same side · consensus Yujia Huang
——Yujia Huang $23Yujia Huang $18