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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1RN1yaokan
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)no settled market67% (355–171, n=526)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$411K—-$102K—
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #151PM monthly #41 + pinnedwas PM monthly #990
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)no open consensus position60% (98 of 162 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21NFL −8 pts, n=71——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1RN1yaokan
Heat vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $42K—Jazz $1.9K—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
Miami (OH) $13K—Ohio $5.8K—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $7.5K—Knicks $674—
Bucks vs. Knicks
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bucks $806—Knicks $5.4K—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
Kent State $203—Bowling Green $1.7K—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $28—Heat $248—
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $9—Heat $194—
Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron $21K—Marcos Giron $17K—
San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes
same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $26K—Colorado Buffaloes $178—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $20K—Over $41—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
76ers $5.8K—76ers $1.8K—
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $5.0K—Suns $358—
Clippers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $1.3K—Suns $3.9K—
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $1.9K—Knicks $798—
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $172—Under $846—
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $134—Under $308—