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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighryou999
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)43% (129–174, n=303)0% (0–2, n=2)
Consensus PnL-$411K$115K-$4.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #37PM monthly #593
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)52% (53 of 102 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%33% of 3 at avg 34¢, ROI −11%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)6% (won 100% of 9)33% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)42% (won 100% of 63)67% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)40% (won 100% of 61)0%
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)12% (won 100% of 18)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighryou999
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $19KHeat $22K—
Celtics vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $26K76ers $13K—
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $37KKnicks $565—
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $1.2KKnicks $35K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17KUnder $799—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $2Celtics $4.0K—
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Knicks $2.1KBucks $90—
Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron $13KMarcos Giron $16K—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6.2KOver $16K—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $18KBucks $480—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $15KMagic $434—
Western Michigan vs. Akron
same side · consensus Western Michigan
Akron $10KAkron $59—
Bucks vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Bucks $8.5KBucks $790—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $70Miami (OH) $2.8K—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $222Kent State $1.4K—