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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | little-jerk | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 67% (355–171, n=526) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $391K | $3.9K | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #608 | PM monthly #41 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (17 of 30 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (99 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 1 at avg 80¢, ROI +20% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 0% | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 0% | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | little-jerk | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Bucks $323 | Bucks $28K | — | Bucks $1.2K |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $7.5K | — | — | Knicks $674 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $806 | — | — | Knicks $5.5K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $203 | — | — | Bowling Green $1.7K |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $28 | — | — | Heat $272 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $9 | — | — | Heat $221 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $42K | — | — | Heat $2.8K |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $21K | — | — | Marcos Giron $17K |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $32K | — | — | Colorado Buffaloes $178 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $20K | — | — | Over $41 |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $12K | — | — | Bucks $169 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $4.3K | — | — | 76ers $1.8K |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $1.0K | — | — | Suns $3.7K |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $3.7K | — | — | Suns $266 |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Knicks $1.9K | — | — | Knicks $798 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $172 | — | — | Under $878 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $134 | — | — | Under $336 |