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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ch27erFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3325, n=7861)61% (30–19, n=49)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$70K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #167PM monthly #11PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (15 of 24 open)no open consensus position74% (156 of 212 open)52% (34 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NBA +46 pts n=18, ROI +44%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%96% of 27 at avg 56¢, ROI +42%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0%29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)15% (won 100% of 4)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)85% (won 96% of 23)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)0%39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ch27erFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $238—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.2K—No $1.8K—
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.5K—Under $936—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Will LKP Motor Lublin win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.8KYes $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $600Over $3.3K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $3.8KMax Hans Rehberg $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.5KUnder $57
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $730
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $20Over $1.2K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
——Kilian Feldbausch $241Sumit Nagal $997
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
——Diletta Cherubini $287Ipek Oz $680
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $348Under $41
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $222Hornets $124
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——76ers $188Cavaliers $107
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $99Over $75
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31No $12
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $138K—Carlos Alcaraz $1.4K—
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $12KNo $16K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.7KNo $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $3.4K—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $2.9K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $942No $729
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.2KNo $197
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $333No $841
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Juan Bautista Torres $106Juan Bautista Torres $1.0K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
——Zsombor Piros $274Zsombor Piros $774
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $450Yes $408
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $361Kings $111
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
——Carlo Alberto Caniato $11Carlo Alberto Caniato $300
W50 Huamantla: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Victoria Rodriguez
same side · consensus Zuzanna Pawlikowska
——Victoria Rodriguez $9Victoria Rodriguez $239
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $42
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $61No $11
Exact Score: Antalyaspor 1 - 0 Bursaspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $36Yes $17