Consensus PnL $109K · win rate 88% (15–2, n=17) · PM monthly #126 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$108.9K
Record
15W / 2L
Win Rate
88.0%
of 17 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#298
Source
PM monthly #126
Record (90 d)
15/15 · 100%
Trades
16
Markets
19
Volume
$538.7K
Specialties
15 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 55¢- NBA
+46 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +45%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 80%(won 100% of 12)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.